The choice is the deal, no deal or no Brexit
It’s been confirmed by both the Prime Minister, Theresa May, and the President of the European Council, Donald Tusk, that the choice now is either ‘the deal’, ‘no deal ‘or ‘no Brexit’.
‘The deal’ negotiated between the EU and Theresa May is the best Brexit deal available, according to both sides. In any event, the EU is adamant: the negotiations are over, and ‘the deal’ cannot be amended or debated any more.
On or around 14 January, our Parliament will vote on whether or not it accepts ‘the deal’.
If Parliament does accept it, then sadly, that’s the end of the Remain campaign and Reasons2Remain. The long and tortuous Brexit process will have reached its conclusion, and the UK really will be leaving the EU on 29 March.
We cannot campaign to remain after we’ve left, although we are confident that new campaigns will emerge to rejoin the EU in the future.
But by all accounts, it is more than likely that Parliament will reject ‘the deal’ when it’s put to the vote in a couple of weeks time.
Then, who should choose what happens next?
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If Parliament cannot resolve the impasse on Brexit, then the choice should be put back to us, the people, by way of a new advisory referendum.
Theresa May keeps saying she’s determined to deliver on ‘the will of the people’. But before she can do that, she should find out what it is.
Yes, she needs to ascertain what the ‘people’s will’ is today, and not what it might have been over two years ago, when no one knew the fuller details of Brexit that we now know.
We now know from the government’s own reports that all versions of Brexit will cause Britain considerable damage. There is no good Brexit.
We also now know that a ‘no deal’ Brexit would be the worst option of all.
Two independent bodies – our Civil Service and the Bank of England – have completed in-depth analysis and calculations. They both conclude that leaving the EU without any deal would be catastrophic for Britain. We should not even contemplate that.
Multiple assessments, including the opinion of the vast majority of economists, confirm that Britain will be better-off, safer and with greater influence by remaining a member of the EU.
Maybe, then, it’s no surprise that over 50 polls since last year’s general election all show that a majority in the country considers that Brexit is a mistake.
But the only poll that will count is new national ballot on Brexit. If that’s the next step, Parliament will be wise to exclude ‘no deal’ from the ballot paper.
If there is a new referendum, the choice – which has to be agreed by Parliament – is likely to be ‘the deal’ or ‘no Brexit’.
▪ IF ‘THE DEAL’ WINS, SO BE IT.
We will leave the EU on the government’s agreed terms. It will be the end of the Remain campaign, but new campaigns will emerge to rejoin.
▪ IF ‘NO BREXIT’ WINS – MEANING WE STAY IN THE EU – SO BE IT.
The European Court of Justice has already ruled that the UK can cancel Brexit, and rescind the Article 50 notice, and stay in the EU on our current good terms.
As Mrs May keeps saying: ‘Let’s get on with it.’
The sooner the better, so that we can wrap this up and all move on from three years of Brexit chaos and calamity.
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